About: lishitong

Recent Posts by lishitong

Asian Shares Dip Amid Cautious Trading

The VIX dipped to its lowest level in over a year as equities trade sideways ahead of the Fed interest rate decision Asian shares traded lower, and U.S. equity futures fell as investors remained cautious after Wall Street closed with little change. The CBOE VIX volatility index hit its lowest level in over a year.Continue Reading

Dollar Holds on to Gains After Hike Expectations Bounce

USD remains elevated even as the economy shows signs of weakening The U.S dollar saw a bounce on Monday after a sustained dip on the back of signs of easing inflation and the recent bank stress. Resilient retails sales, optimistic earnings in Wall Street, and hike-signalling from the Fed have caused the dollar to surgeContinue Reading

美联储货币政策前景模糊,美元低位徘徊。

市场须知 由于美国货币政策的不确定性在全球金融市场挥之不去,美元持续在低点徘徊。亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长博斯蒂克(Raphael Bostic)和布拉德(James Bullard)就加息以对抗通胀的必要性发表了鹰派言论,但近期美国地区的通胀数据显示出放缓的迹象,促使投资者对该鹰派言论仍持怀疑态度。美联储未来的货币政策计划仍取决于数据,建议投资者密切关注经济数据,以寻找进一步的信号。与此同时,美国股市的主要公司报告了喜忧参半的季度财务业绩,高盛集团表现不佳,而美国银行公布超出预期读数。另一方面,英国的工资增长快于预期,这引发了投资者对英国央行下个月加息的猜测,刺激了英镑的看涨势头。 市场看点 当前对 5 月 3 日美联储利率决定的加息押注: Source: CME Fedwatch Tool 25个基点 (18.6%) 对比 50 个基点 (81.4%) 市场概括 财经日历 市场走势 美元指数, H4 在美联储官员情绪不一的情况下,美元下跌 0.37% 至 101.702 美元。 亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长拉斐尔博斯蒂克倾向于再次加息以抑制持续高企的通胀,但指出银行系统压力正在消退。 他建议在下一次加息后,利率可能会在一段时间内保持在 5% 的水平,等待预期的数据。 与此同时,詹姆斯布拉德表达了他的鹰派观点,称他希望看到利率在 5.5% 至 5.75% 的范围内。 这与 Bostic 倾向于最终加息,然后长期保持在 5% 以上的利率形成鲜明对比。 这两条评论都引发了投资者对潜在衰退的担忧。 由于市场情绪不一,美元正回落至 102 美元以下。 MACD 线在零线上方交易,表明中性势头。 RSI 位于 49,也显示出中性势头。 阻力位:102.00, 102.84Continue Reading

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